September 2009

You are browsing the archive for September 2009.

McGinn and the Viaduct

I very much doubt Mike McGinn will halt the SR-99 tunnel/viaduct replacement.

The Governor has made it clear that the tunnel is the answer. It’s the State’s highway, and as far as she’s concerned she’s appeased Seattle once already by not giving them another elevated structure. End of story. From what I understand, the business community lobbied her hard not to make traffic worse on I-5. And if there’s one constituency that the Governor has done everything to please, it’s the business community.

This comment thread has lots of suggestions for tactics (such as holding up permits) that McGinn can try if he wants to go 10 rounds with her on this, and that’s all fine, but the Governor will make his life miserable if he tries. She’s got the bigger budget, she’s more experienced, and she can do all sorts of things — cut funds to the city or otherwise gum up the works — that will all but guarantee he’ll be an unpopular, one-term mayor.

McGinn’s bold, and I like that about him. But being bold and being successful are two very different things.

I’m happy to be proven wrong on this, but I don’t think I am.

Proposed New Light Rail Route

Mike McGinn has proposed a new light rail line be built to connect West Seattle, Belltown, Queen Anne, Ballard, Fremont, and Ballard to downtown. I have no idea of his exact plan, but I’d like to speculate. Based on my previous idea for an Aurora trolley line, I present the Aurora Light Rail:

With removing the Viaduct, 99 will have much less traffic. My idea is to reduce it to a boulevard with a single lane in each direction and light rail in the middle, from downtown to the bridge. This allows us to use the existing bridge, as crossing the ship canal may be the most expensive component to a light rail system.

Note also the new pedestrian tunnel from the waterfront to the transit tunnel. A common complaint about using the waterfront as a place for light rail is that it won’t be connected to Link. But it takes only minutes to walk from Link to the waterfront, and an underground tunnel with escalators will reduce this further.

The main detail that needs more thought is at the West Seattle side. I don’t spend much time in West Seattle and am not sure the best route. Ideas?

Also, I haven’t gone as far as thinking out station locations. I’ll leave that as an exercise for the reader.

User Registration Update

It appears that the installation of an image-based CAPTCHA on the user registration page has stopped the flurry of spam registrations, so I’ve turned registrations back on.

Sorry for the inconvenience. I’ve turned CAPTCHAs off for commenting, you should only see them for registration.

Metro Service Revisions Next Week

Metro’s site has the rundown of service changes going to effect on September 19th.

I like how they’ve called out the TransitNow changes.

The Curious Lack of Will in the Transit Community

In 1972 I became an owner of a Lake Union houseboat. At the time, the city and many of the landlords who owned the docks were determined to get rid of the houseboats. There were no wealthy houseboat owners or expensive houseboats then- you couldn’t build a new one, and who would invest in a house when the dockowner wanted to get rid of you and there was nowhere to go?

Over the next ten years we learned many of the unpleasant tricks cities and people can play, and in the process the Floating Homes Association established our rights to live on Lake Union and Portage Bay.

This comes to mind as it is increasing apparent that Seattle is scripted to lose the electric trolley buses, and neither candidate for Mayor has any intention of building more streetcars. But it’s hard to find any concern about this at Seattle Transit Blog, or any more than the ritual handwringing about the loss of the George Benson Streetcar. In fact, there is a Pollyanna quality to the beliefs that $930 million is available and will be used to implement the surface improvements Nickels was working on.

Here’s a newsflash- there is no $930 million, and when McGinn or Mallahan move to get some of that for surface improvements, there will be no Central Line- unless you make them do it!

By the mid-70s the FHA represented 400 houseboats, almost all of whom donated handsomely for legal costs and other expenses of defending ourselves. Do you see 400 people organized to defend transit in Seattle today?

It wouldn’t take 400, because, like the houseboats, the basic idea is sound. But they would need to have clear ideas about what needed to be done,and where you can’t compromise.

On the Seattle Transit Blog you frequently see discussions and advocacy for more diesel bus service, and many, if not most, would agree that you can’t put a streetcar on a street that already carries too many cars. Even the day-dreaming seldom takes a pleasant turn- I’ve never seen a post about converting the existing electric bus routes to streetcars, and using the buses to electrify new routes.

Sometimes this can work out for the best. Apparently in a few years the trolley buses will be worn out, and the routes could be converted to streetcars without creating an electric bus surplus. Serendipity, of a sort.

But just waiting for nice things to happen, at its very best, puts you behind the curve in a new era of rising construction costs- or, alternately, if the current fall of costs persists, it will be in the context of a worldwide depression. That worked well for public improvements in the 30s, when the US was the world’s strongest economy and the world’s leading oil exporter. Now- not so much.

If people in Seattle want real transit, they’ll have to take the game to a new level. The people of Seattle overhauled and redirected their city government in the 70s, and that needs to happen again. Don’t look for Mallahan or McGinn to furnish leadership here.

Market-rate Affordable Housing

I’ve made it my personal conquest in local blogs and newspaper comments to argue against those that say new dense housing drives up prices. Simple supply v. demand economics tells us that when you have more of a good or service without new demand the price goes down. Why this tricks people is because they see new condos selling for more than the old houses they replaced, without perceiving the high demand that caused those condos to be built or seeing that the average price of housing overall goes down – say, old condos in a less desirable area that now have fewer potential buyers.

How can I ever get through to the deniers? Those that say that the cost of new housing will always be high whatever the demand? Well, a down economy helps. The Slog is reporting that Brix and Gallery condos are being auctioned off at bargain basement rates – $458k units are starting at $185k. Yes, I’m sure they’ll sell for more than that, but imagine what older condos will start selling for once their potential buyers all buy new condos.

Jane Jacobs, Original NIMBY

There’s a lot to love about the life and work of Jane Jacobs, who saved much of New York from the overzealousness of Robert Moses in the late 1960s and early 1970s.

Two book reviews of Anthony Flint’s Wrestling with Moseshere and here — consider Jacobs’ and Moses’ famous fights.

What comes across in both is the idea that Jacobs was the conservative and Moses the progressive (small “c” and “p”, respectively). Jacobs certainly embodied William F. Buckley’s famous definition 50+ years ago of his conservative magazine as “stand[ing] athwart history, yelling Stop, at a time when no one is inclined to do so.” Meanwhile, Moses saw himself as the vision of urban progress.

Today, of course, the pendulum has swung the other way. Building anything in a city has become incredibly difficult. Not even the all-powerful Robert Moses could get a significant zoning change in a modern American city or suburb. In that way, Jacobs was perhaps too successful.

Spammed!

Apologies to all of you who had the unpleasant experience of reading the nasty spam posts that appeared on the site this morning. I’ve deleted them, and I’m working on deleting the 1000s of spam user accounts that have been created.

In the meantime, I’m manually approving all new account registrations, so if you want to comment and you haven’t set up an account yet, it may take a few hours for me to approve you in the system.

Everyone who currently has an account should be fine. Unless, of course, I accidentally delete your account during the purge. Sorry about that if it happens. Sometimes it’s hard to tell the difference between spam accounts and real ones. (I mean, if you happen to choose “Viagra” as you username just ’cause you thought it was cool, you’re probably going to have your account deleted. Just sayin’.)

What Should Transit Do?

Recently in a comment thread I was lectured about being narrow-minded and not realizing that public investments were meant to improve society, even if (for example) an investment by KC-Metro didn’t actually improve the finances of the transit agency itself.

This immediately reminded me of the death of the great train stations. When they became de facto homeless shelters in the 50s and 60s, travelers, railroads and civic leaders concurred in thinking they should be closed and torn down, rather than prolong the agony.

You could also flip this around, and think Metro could upgrade the rider experience by providing somewhere else for their less desirable riders to hang out.

And this comes up all the time. It’s good for transit to create TOD- but not so good, apparently, for the agency to buy land in anticipation of future demand and profitable resale. Parking for transit riders is good- or is it? Who pays for synchronized traffic lights- the agency, or the city? Cui bono?

Right now, blue-pencil agency staff are recommending the replacement of the electric trolley buses by diesel hybrids, in order to achieve short-term savings- but at what cost, as oil becomes more expensive and less obtainable?

I personally take the broadest possible view of improving society by public investment- but believe that view can only rationally be maintained by asking the hardest and most skeptical questions when vague promises are made.

Ideas for Seattle

Associated with the McGinn Campaign but useful to anyone, there’s a great Obamaesque idea website for voting on Seattle’s priorities. It’s called Ideas for Seattle, and is worth a few minutes spent voting or even creating your own ideas. Note that there are several great transit ideas including one to create more bus lanes (posted by yours truly) and the poorly named “Build the Green Line” which is actually about adding trolley buses.

Hat tip to [joshuadf] who pointed to the Ideas site in the comments.