Orphan Road

Erica Barnett links to a new poll out from UW, including, among other things, more Prop 1 polling!

It looks like it's going to come down to the wire, but it also looks more favorable than the King 5 poll from last week. Prop. 1 leads 49% - 38% among likely voters, with 13% undecided.

I'm a little unclear (as is Barnett) about the poll's methodology, which claims to include "600 statewide voters." Presumably they didn't ask people in Spokane about Prop. 1, so I'm not sure what subset of the 600 were asked, whether that neatly lines up wiht the RTID/ST2 borders, and finally how that affects the margin of error.

In other words, caveat emptor.

Update: Also worthy of note is that Democrats are 2-to-1 in favor, Republicans 2-to-1 against.